I guess this agent knows nothing either.
This agent says cash flow is the problem. That in the next three years he's only guaranteed $63M.
Fine. Except that in the next 21 months he will have earned $141.4M. Since as has been said multiple times, 2020-2022 are guaranteed today. In March of 2021 he's guaranteed 2023 salary of $40.45M. In March of 2022 he's guaranteed 2024 salary of $37.95M.
Maybe since the agent is talking cash flow, Mahomes gets the check for his 2023 salary in 2023 rather than in 2021, the 2024 salary in 2024 rather than in 2022. He earns $141.4M in the next 21 months. But doesn't see all of it for five years. Man, that's rough. How is Mahomes agent going to sleep at night knowing he is only gonna make $4.24M over the next five years on just this one client?
This agent even said Mahomes stands to make $6M more over the next two years than if he played out his rookie deal. Then suggests he and the Chiefs should play the franchise tag game. You don't really do that with someone you trust. No one wants to be franchised tagged.
The other clear issue is career ending injury. Lets play out this scenario in this agents take, and in the current contract if injury happens in say, 2021.
Agent says play out rookie deal, get franchise tagged one to two, even suggests times.
Agent 2020: $825K earned
Agent 2021: Option exercised, call it $26M earned, guaranteed first day of league year.
Career ending injury during 2021 season - Take home pay = $26.825M.
Current 2020: $10M signing bonus, $825K salary = $10.825M
Current 2021: Guaranteed salary of $22.8M. 2023 salary becomes guaranteed
Career ending injury during 2021 season - Currently earned $33.625M.
Current 2022 was guaranteed for $29.45M
Current 2023 was guaranteed in 2021 for $40.45M
Take home pay - $103.525M
Agent also compares to Goff and Wentz. Lets run them through the career ending injury scenario in a second year into an extension
2019: $25M signing bonus, $1M guaranteed salary = $26M
2020: Guaranteed salary of $22.04M. 2021 salary guaranteed as of March 19.
Career ending injury - Currently earned $48.04M
2021: guaranteed $27.5M
Take home pay - $75.54M
2019: $16.367M signing bonus. $720K salary = $17.09M
2020: Something about a $30M option + base salary of $1.383M = $31.38M
Career ending injury - Currently earned $48.41M
2021: guaranteed $25.4M
Take home pay - $73.81M
Mahomes still takes the cake. But sure, cash flow and stuff.