Some great stats in here Mike. Love the data on Judon and Jackson/Tannehill. Great article.
But the deal is that The Titans are not your typical six seed. As the two teams have evolved over the season, you could consider this a matchup between the 10-0 Ravens and the 8-3 Titans. How much difference is there really?
I agree, don't take anything for granted, that being said...a nit to pick here about six seeds. I think a lot of six seeds in fact look like this Tennessee team. Against winning teams they have two wins. One by 3 against KC on two blocked FG attempts, and one against the Pats winning by 7 but really was just 1 on what was a clearly declining offense. Would they have beaten Houston again if they didn't rest? Who knows, but they couldn't beat them at home 3 weeks earlier. 8-3 is 5-6 without one blocked FG, one TD drive from the Pats, and a repeat of a Houston game that isn't a team resting.
I'd add to that I think the WC games are always closer than the Divisional games. Some of that is teams being tired, some of that I think is quality of teams. On the road since 2013 to 2018 there have been 13 wins in the last 6 seasons (WC teams winning more games than losing, that surprised me). Chronologically counting back to the Chargers, Eagles (6), Colts (6), Titans, Falcons (6), Chiefs, Steelers (6), Packers, Seahawks (6), Ravens (6), Saints (6), Chargers (6), Niners. By my count 8 of 13 wins were six seeds. Backing up the notion that these are teams that are more likley riding a hot streak. That surprised me. Even more surprising, none of those six seeds won in the next round.
One more thought here, you have to go back to 2011 to find a 9-7 team that won in the divisional round period.
Again, don't take anything for granted. But, it would be stunning for Tennessee to win this game from a historical stand point. I actually wonder if part of the reason that 6 seeds don't fair well is that 1 seeds (not only are the best team) have had usually more than one week to really rest. If the 1 seed is locked up, you often see teams resting in Week 17. Which has to be even more of an edge.