Is this a championship IF in 2020?
Understand my position.
I want to build a team with that has 1) Opportunity to win and 2) that you can market
I personally don't think we're going to get to any season where we're going to look out and project the Orioles at 92 Wins and the other 4 teams in the Division will all have lesser projections. I'm not saying it's 0% to get there (crazy things can happen) but you can see 0% from here.
When you have 4 Division competitors that are either well run, well resourced or both, I think it limits the upside of any season.
My goal would to be to build opportunity and then go hard after it. It's more than Talent. It's how this team posted the most wins from 2012-2016...not by be being the most Talented, but showing up and getting it done. I certainly think you can build better teams than they had in those years. Better ML roster, better MiL system and better player development.
I think we're 15-35% opportunity to make the Playoffs every year.
I wouldn't promise the Playoffs, I could promise that Organizationally we're going to get after it.
We're currently going with the 0%, 0%, 0% then at some point 90%, 90%, 90%, 90% (it will be worth it).
I think that's absurdly difficult to deliver on.
...and the real bottom line is that if you have some secret sauce for delivering those 90% opportunities, super, you don't need one best draft pick (for X years) to deliver that 5 years from now. Take your shots now and deliver on that system 4 or 5 years from now, because it's pretty much exactly the same system.