"Jackson is not exactly small, however. He measured 6-foot-2, 216 pounds at the combine. Over the last eight seasons, seven of the NFL’s leader in carries have weighed between 220-228 pounds, and Jackson isn’t too far off that. The exception in that group is LeSean McCoy, who is 210 pounds, has 2,346 career carries and has missed 13 games in 10 seasons. Nobody worries all the time about McCoy getting hurt. Someone like Warrick Dunn was 187 pounds, had 2,669 carries and there wasn’t a constant worry about him taking on injuries. It shouldn’t be inconceivable that Jackson could handle a much larger workload than any other quarterback we’ve ever seen. It just hasn’t happened before.
It isn’t entirely logical to think a quarterback has a much greater chance of getting hurt running the ball than a tailback.
“I think it’s a little overrated, the whole danger thing,” new Ravens offensive coordinator Greg Roman said, according to the team’s transcripts. “Why? Because, and this is empirical data here, over the years you kind of realize that when a quarterback decides to run, he’s in control. So now [if] he wants to slide, he can slide. If he wants to dive, he can dive, get out of bounds – all of those different things. He can get down, declare himself down.
“A lot of the time, the situations that [have] more danger are when he doesn’t see what’s coming — my eyes are downfield, I’m standing stationary from the pocket, somebody is hitting me from the blindside. My experience, and I kind of learned this, is that when the quarterback takes the ball and starts to run, there’s not a lot of danger involved in that relative to other situations.”
Reading that quote, it doesn’t seem the Ravens will scale back Jackson’s running."
The quoted is what interested me in the article.
Rob, to your last few points.... that goes with what I've said about the focus being on his initial contract, particularly with him being cheap.
Nothing is set in-stone imo. Be that the Ravens won't have interest in an extension (they might), or that Jackson will definitely be the 2020 starter (TBD). The only definite right now is that he gets this 2019 season.
My expectations are that he starts during the duration of his initial contract, and leads the Ravens to the post-season several times with a deep team around him. Not sure if they'll give an extension though.
I'm not worried about Jackson from the pocket. They'll roll him out a lot. He'll be very good over the middle with the TE's and Snead. He has to make teams pay outside in 1x1 when he rolls. He does that, teams will pay for stacking the box.
Re: Turnovers... this is my primary concern. He has to eliminate the unforced errors. One issue he has is how he holds the ball. It's what leads to the flutter at times, and it what causes some fumbles. With all of the work this season on improving his footwork (1,2, throw..), it was decided they would not work on his grip. That they'd probably work on that next year.
Even without that change, he has to find ways to not put the ball on the ground, especially those times where he's untouched.