He wasn’t a consensus #1 but I definitely saw him as a good chance to be one and was certainly one of the top few guys on the board.
I distinctly remember people talking about him at #1 and saying, who is this guy, I thought it was Witt in a landslide?(and yes that was before the season started in 2019)
I tend to believe if this pandemic happened back then, that the Os wouldn’t have taken the HS kid.
It's really hard to say, cause there's no HS kid that has been high on the radar for 2 years. I guess the best comparison, is if Harper was in this draft, even without his senior year, would teams still favor the more known college players?
Can't say if it's chicken or the egg, since we don't know what we don't know. Could have been a couple HS kids that worked their way into top 5 discussion with a senior season.
As is, like you've said before, since you've got more data on the college guys those are the safer play, and it's not like they don't merit a top pick, so you aren't losing out. The teams in trouble this year are the ones picking in the mid first round.