Serious question for anyone that wants to answer it....
IF the Orioles were trying to compete and
IF you had a chance to sign Paul Goldschmidt
...would you trade DL Hall, Mancini, and Cashner with Davis' current year money (eat the deferred) for 2 prospects outside of the other teams top15 and a third guy outside the top 30?
for the sake of the discussion, you have to move Davis' money to sign Goldy.
No, because it's not a matter of the chance for a guy like Goldschmidt, who is in his 30's. There would need to be a guarantee.
We don't know how Hall and Mancini are going to turn out with the changes in the analytical culture, so that's actually a pretty big trade risk - especially since those are MLers/top 10 prospects.
Cashner right now should be able to fetch a couple of prospects, probably one outside top 15 and one outside top 30, because he is a back of the rotation candidate with capability.
For Davis, why trade him unless you are getting salary relief? You aren't going to get anything back for him right now, even for free, unless you are trading him to an overconfident organization - so if I were getting him off of the roster I would just release or reassign him.
The O's don't really need salary relief, per se, so much as money well spent. They have the money, but not to burn.
The reality for Davis, though, is that he isn't getting the medication that he needs to deal with his issues. There is a clear problem, and potentially depression for him, and I don't think that is something that simple analytics are going to solve.
Overall, I would go just go the route of trying to invest that money internationally, and in prospects and development, because you are going to get far better return there.