In the first off-season of 'rebuilding' the Orioles have done nothing to change the Talent in the system That's not meant to be disrespectful to Martin or Karns or Drew Jackson, but it's hard to assume those guys move the needle for future Championships. Hopefully, the 'other stuff' in terms of Analytics or Development will be significant and get more out of existing Talent both individually and (while it won't matter short-term) collectively.
It's hard to believe ST starts this week. Usually teams are pretty locked up right now and there's always other things (marketing, brochures, promotions, etc) that may prevent teams from making deals, but given the challenges of some of these teams even today and the unfinished nature of today's market, maybe you can still do something.
Couple places I'd look to add Talent.
CLEVELAND INDIANS: needed to add quality for their OF, relevant bullpen pieces and they appear to be considering specific options because they are at the limit of what they'd be willing to spend.
I don't think Mancini is part of the Orioles future and individually, I don't see him returning impact talent. Villar was a throw in to the Schoop trade (roster balance) and while he performed decent for the Orioles, he's unilikely to command anything significant no matter what he does the first half. Givens has some value and you could see him performing well and adding a relevant piece.
If the Indians could add Josh Bell to RF, Givens to the bullpen and Villar for 2B and dump Kipnis' 17M contract, they would address 3 significant needs with quality players, controlled for several seasons as part of extended near-term winning and improve their financial position.
The trade should look something like..
CLE gets Bell, Givens, Villar
PIT gets Mancini, Benson, Bracho (2 interesting guys from CLE outside of top15 per mlb.com)
BAL gets [package of Talent], Kipnis
The Indians should feel comfortable giving up significant prospects in a deal like that. They were willing to give up their top prospect in the Hand trade and this is significantly more value than that trade.
Would Triston McKenzie and Nolan Jones be enough?
Given that the Indians have talked about trading Kluber or Bauer (I'd move Bauer in a heartbeat) they can certainly replenish the top of their system with quality players, even if they moved the top guys today.
Basically, it's open to whatever the Orioles would want to request (maybe they like other guys better). Unless you are absurd in the ask you get to define a deal like that if you help their team that much. You could take back Salazar and his salary too and see what happens with that arms. If the Indians wanted some other fringe role guys (like a Castro) you can do more things inside of it. Maybe some other teams really likes a guy in their system and you can grab a different guy and flip him for something in that team's system.
Quick Kipnis thought. This will meet the same silliness that Kemp gets. I don't want him, he serves a purpose in terms of return value. BUT...Kipnis could embrace something like this. Get his feet back under him in a lower pressure environment. He could routinely expand his versatility across the diamond (the versatility every team is looking for), bat #2 or #3 and just try to get his value back up for FA next year (whereas the Indians might not be able to use him as aggressively given their need to compete) AND he's virtually guaranteed of getting in the playoff race this season (Orioles trade him into it later)...you could even offer the Indians right of first refusal on him if they wanted him back at the end of the season.
Bottom line is you package up value to meet the Indians needs and get back some higher end Talent.