Anyone who has Grant Williams rated higher loses credibility for me. That's just dumb.
Here's a good article on why I'm not high on RJ.
“Why I’m out on R.J. Barrett as an elite NBA prospect” by Brandon Anderson https://link.medium.com/pTltfOqlJX
The analysis here isn't bad and I do have some level of worry that he will be a high volume scorer but not the most efficient player. There is a reason a lot of people comp him to Harden....that's essentially what Harden is and why I think Harden is overrated as a player.
That being said, Harden is still a damn good player and if you are getting 20-25 ppg, 7ish boards and 5ish assists a game, that's a very good NBA player and clearly worth the 3rd pick and better than most 3rd picks ever.
He is basically saying that his mentality is bad...I think that's stupid. You want guys that want to take the last shot, guys who want the pressure on their shoulders, etc....He has said that he embraces being in NY. He wants to be a Knick despite that organization being shitty.
He is right about the decision making. The problem I have with the analysis is 2 fold. First of all, he was 18 last year and had a ton of hype/spotlight on him. Its a lot for a kid that age. Secondly, as he stated, they packed it in on him a lot...what he didn't talk about was the poor shooting Duke had around him. Now, you can argue that you still kick it out and you still make the smart basketball play but I think the smarter play was for him to attack and try and score because he's such a great finisher and the players around
him couldn’t shoot.
Where I had an issue (and I agree with the Mich St reference because I felt the same thing) was that there were key moments in big games where it seemed like he forgot he had Zion and while I think you can argue that RJ is the more all around skilled player right now, Zion was just more dominant and more unstoppable and there were times RJ didn't seem to care about that and he "had to be the man".
But my issue with the analysis overall is that it doesn't take into account age, situation, players around him, etc...Its seeing him as an 18 y/o and saying, that's who he will be.
Now, he certainly could be right BUT there are some poor assumptions in there.
As for his shooting, that will definitely improve. He may never be a great shooter coming off a screen or moving without the ball but that doesn't mean he can't end up being a good shooter. He will just be more of a catch and shoot type guy and with his driving ability and athleticism, defenders will have to respect that and give him a little room. I'm not worried about him improving his shot. He has a good shot, solid mechanics, etc...Its the same with free throws. I would bet that he is shooting in the 75-83% range within 3 years. I would bet that he is a 35ish% 3pt shooter within 3 years as well.