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BSL: Baltimore Orioles Top 30 Prospects As 2018 Ends


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#61 Nigel Tufnel

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Posted 11 January 2019 - 04:34 PM

9) Ryan McKenna, OF, Grade B-: Age 21, fourth round pick in 2015 from high school in New Hampshire, hit .377/.467/.556 in 257 at-bats in High-A, fell off to .239/.341/.338 in 213 at-bats in Double-A but was young for the level; good bat speed, enough raw power to hit 15 homers

 

but hasn’t fully tapped it yet; good command of the strike zone, also runs well and draws good reviews for defense; sources who follow Orioles closely view him as a breakout candidate; ETA 2020.



#62 Nigel Tufnel

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Posted 11 January 2019 - 04:34 PM

10) Blaine Knight, RHP, Grade B-: Age 22, third round pick in 2018 from University of Arkansas; 2.61 ERA in 10 innings in New York-Penn League with 8/3 K/BB; tiny sample of course so evaluation depends a lot on what he did in college; low-90s fastball that tops at 95

 

combined with plus slider, solid-average curve and change; has the arsenal and command to start, though worries about scrawny 6-3, 165 build means he needs to prove his durability; ETA 2021, maybe sooner.



#63 Nigel Tufnel

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Posted 11 January 2019 - 04:35 PM

11) Zac Lowther, LHP, Grade B-: Age 22, comp round pick in 2017 out of Xavier; posted 2.18 ERA in 124 innings between Low-A and High-A, with 151/35 K/BB, just 86 hits; excellent performance in all respects; fastball around 90 most of the time but extremely deceptive,

 

mixes in curve and change-up, high level of pitchability; skepticism is natural until he reaches higher levels but personally I’m a believer; ETA 2020.


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#64 Nigel Tufnel

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Posted 11 January 2019 - 04:35 PM

12) Luis Ortiz, RHP, Grade B-: Age 23, originally drafted by Texas Rangers in first round in 2014, traded to Milwaukee Brewers in 2017, then to the Orioles in Jonathan Schoop deal; 3.70 ERA in 100 innings in Double-A/Triple-A with 86/26 K/BB, 97 hits;

 

season ended early with hamstring trouble; on the right day shows mid-90s fastball, plus slider and decent change-up but total comes out as less than the sum of the parts on a bad day; another way to put it: he throws strikes but is still learning to pitch, eta 2019



#65 Nigel Tufnel

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Posted 11 January 2019 - 04:39 PM

13) Dillon Tate, RHP, Grade B-/C+: Age 24, first round pick by Rangers in 2015, traded to Yankees in Carlos Beltran deal, then on to Orioles in Zach Britton trade; 4.16 ERA in 123 innings in Double-A, 96/34 K/BB; like Ortiz, he has plenty of stuff,

 

mid-90s fastball sometimes higher, flashes plus secondaries but inconsistent and not as overpowering as he should be; bullpen risk is increasing but could be very good there; ETA late 2019.


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#66 Nigel Tufnel

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Posted 11 January 2019 - 04:41 PM

14) Michael Baumann, RHP, Grade B-/C+: Age 23, third round pick in 2017 from Jacksonville, posted 3.17 ERA in 131 innings in Low-A/High-A, 106/53 K/BB, 105 hits, another guy who can hit mid-90s, mixes in solid slider though off-speed pitches remain inconsistent

 

and general command needs to improve; yet another good arm who might wind up in bullpen but too soon to give up on rotation potential; ETA late 2020.



#67 Nigel Tufnel

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Posted 11 January 2019 - 04:41 PM

15) Rylan Bannon, 3B-2B, Grade B-/C+: Age 22, eighth round pick by the Dodgers in 2017 from Xavier, over to Baltimore in Machado deal; hit .296/.405/.559 with 20 homers in 338 at-bats in High-A before the trade, just .204/.344/.327 in 98 at-bats in Double-A after the trade;

 

combined for 81 walks, 127 strikeouts, 22 homers; draws walks and good pull power, though still needs to prove bat at higher levels; good defensive rep despite poor .896 fielding at third base; steadier in action at second; could be Dan Uggla type if all goes well; ETA 2020.



#68 Nigel Tufnel

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Posted 11 January 2019 - 04:42 PM

16) Hunter Harvey, RHP, Grade B-/C+: Age 24, first round pick in 2013, posted 5.57 ERA in 32 innings in Double-A, 30/9 K/BB; constant presence on prospect lists and still ranks highly on most, higher than here but I want to see him stay healthy; still hits 95-97,

 

still has a plus curve but added shoulder trouble in 2018 to long resume of injuries; could slot as high as seventh if you trust his health; ETA ??



#69 Nigel Tufnel

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Posted 11 January 2019 - 04:43 PM

17) Brenan Hanifee, RHP, Grade C+/B-: Age 20, fourth round pick in 2016 from high school in Virginia, 2.86 ERA in 132 innings in Low-A, 85/22 K/BB, 120 hits, 1.68 GO/AO; fastball low 90s with higher ticks, high ground ball rate,

 

slider and change-up show promise and he throws strikes; still has physical projection so stuff may increase further, watch for any rise in K-rate, which would presage breakout; ETA 2021.


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#70 Nigel Tufnel

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Posted 11 January 2019 - 04:44 PM

18) Cadyn Grenier, SS, Grade C+: Age 22, comp round pick in 2018 from Oregon State, jumped to Low-A and hit just .216/.297/.332 in 162 at-bats; best-known for excellent defense,

 

bat showed signs of significant improvement in college but this didn’t carry forward into pro ball; needs to get stronger or at least cut down on higher-than-expected strikeout rate; ETA 2021.


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#71 Nigel Tufnel

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Posted 11 January 2019 - 04:44 PM

19) D.J. Stewart, OF, Grade C+: Age 25, first round pick in 2015 out of Florida State; hit .235/.329/.387 with 12 homers, 54 walks, 11 steals in 421 at-bats in Triple-A, then .250/.340/.550 in 40 major league at-bats;

 

stocky, strong, patient, production disappointing in AAA but ticked up in small major league sample; could be valuable power/walks role player in his late 20s; ETA 2019.


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#72 Nigel Tufnel

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Posted 11 January 2019 - 04:44 PM

20) Cameron Bishop, LHP, Grade C+: Age 22, 26th round pick in 2017 from UC Irvine, posted 2.94 ERA in 126 innings in Low-A, 99/20 K/BB, 107 hits; nice find this low in the draft, throws strikes easily with 90-95 fastball

 

with curveball and change-up that were better than advertised, command took large step forward in ’18, need to see at higher levels but looks like a solid sleeper; ETA 2021.


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#73 CA-ORIOLE

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Posted 11 January 2019 - 05:54 PM

11) Zac Lowther, LHP, Grade B-: Age 22, comp round pick in 2017 out of Xavier; posted 2.18 ERA in 124 innings between Low-A and High-A, with 151/35 K/BB, just 86 hits; excellent performance in all respects; fastball around 90 most of the time but extremely deceptive,

 

mixes in curve and change-up, high level of pitchability; skepticism is natural until he reaches higher levels but personally I’m a believer; ETA 2020.

Thanks for posting these. 


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#74 BSLBobPhelan

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Posted 11 January 2019 - 07:19 PM

Agreed. Good read.

#75 BSLRobShields

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Posted 11 January 2019 - 11:12 PM

Yep..thanks Nigel.

 

Not always the biggest Sickels fan but I do agree with him about this system.  I think it is sneaky good.


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#76 birdwatcher55

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Posted 13 January 2019 - 08:18 PM

Assuming we draft Witt and he's everything good as advertised, where does that elevate our farm system?

#77 BSLChrisStoner

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Posted 23 January 2019 - 07:49 PM

BP: Top 101 Prospects
https://www.baseball...ts-the-top-101/

 

 

Annoying seeing VVM at 71.  Wish we had got that one done.



#78 BSLChrisStoner

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Posted 29 January 2019 - 11:19 AM

FanGraphs: Top 32 Prospects: Baltimore Orioles



#79 Mackus

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Posted 29 January 2019 - 12:11 PM

Assuming we draft Witt and he's everything good as advertised, where does that elevate our farm system?

 

Depends on how he does in his first taste of pro ball, but he'll likely be a top-25ish prospect, top-10 if he plays really well.  Same goes for Rutschman, who I think is the more likely choice at this point.  Below are the #1 picks from the past 9 seasons (which is as far back as MLB pipeline's top-100 archives by year go).

 

2018 #1 pick Casey Mize is currently ranked #17 by MLB

2017 #1 pick Royce Lewis was ranked #7 after that season by MLB

2016 #1 pick Mickey Moniaks was ranked #29 after that season by MLB

2015 #1 pick Dansby Swansons was ranked #4 after that season by MLB

2014 #1 pick Brady Aiken did not sign

2013 #1 pick Mark Appels was ranked #41 after that season by MLB

2012 #1 pick Carlos Correas was ranked #8 after that season by MLB

2011 #1 pick Gerrit Coles was ranked #7 after that season by MLB

2010 #1 pick Bryce Harper was ranked #2 after that season by MLB


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#80 BSLRobShields

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Posted 29 January 2019 - 01:40 PM

FanGraphs: Top 32 Prospects: Baltimore Orioles

They don't like Ortiz or Tate.


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