CA what I am saying is that the O's total runs scored is quite skewed. They tend to score not very many or a whole bunch. So they average out what looks to be right in the middle. But the problem is there are too many games on the low end that is masked by the games where they score lots.
No team is going to win lots of games when they score 3 or less. But the O's score that number too often and are worse in winning those when they do compared to other teams.
So yes I am suggesting that the POTENTIAL to improve the overall club is to try something different than a roster full of HR hitters. Would it work? Don't know until you try but its clear to me that the recipe they are following is too risky.
Well, I agree that this year seems particularly "skewed/uneven". I'm not sure this year isn't somewhat of an anomaly as compared to previous seasons though. Basically I don't disagree with the supposition and Mackus provided a nice suppoting articles. Sorting it all out is another question. Besides neutralizing the pitching how do we fall out marginally in games we score more runs for example?
Also my guess is the team is designed to perform marginally better in its home park than other teams. You change the chemistry you change that calculus. One thing we do know is the team routinely beats projections and often Pythageron. That would suggest efficiency with scoring. That said, leveraged performance, defense (and home field) probably have factor into most of that.
DJ's input about BOS is pretty compelling. They have little power and use OBP and sped to score runs. They are in our division. That said they face our pitching 18 times a year and we face their pitching 18 games a year.
Definitely something to think about. In the end I think we're better looking to improve the offense and pitching/defense as an aggregate and within our cost control. I'm not sure trying to change "un-even run distribution" is a great strategy or even that significant. I got nothing against more OBP (certainly the most important factor in scoring runs) and good pitching though. Lets develop more because it's typically way too expensive to buy.