CBS Sports: MLB Power Rankings: Dodgers on pace to match the 1927 Murderers' Row Yankees
MLB General Talk 2017 Season
Posted 08 August 2017 - 09:59 AM
CBS Sports: Keri the 10: Cleveland finally rocks, Shark attack, Honeywell watch, more MLB notes
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CBS Sports: 2017 NL Cy Young Favorites: Can Dodgers' Kershaw make it back in time to win?
CBS Sports: NL MVP Watch: Can Arenado or Goldschmidt hold off a pair of Nationals players?
Posted 09 August 2017 - 04:18 PM
Posted 09 August 2017 - 05:10 PM
Nick Markakis quietly notched his 2,000th hit over the weekend. (Couldn't fit it into the news cycle with the riveting Kaepernick saga and whatever Lavar Ball said this time going on).
Anyway, ESPN the mag has a nice breakdown of players chances of getting to 3,000 with Beltre just becoming the 31st. Using some Bill James odds considering age and projections, Pujols (37) is next and will probably do it early next year, about 80 hits to go. 97% chance.
Gives Carlos Beltran (40) a 20% chance as he is about 300 shy. Miggy (34) is less than 400 shy, 97% chance. Robbie Cano (34) is less than 700 shy, 74% chance. Matt Holliday (37) Jose Reyes (34) Victor Martinez (38) all around 950ish away, have 0% chance.
Kakes (33) is given a 35% chance to make it to 3,000.
Among the rising stars, Altuve (27) sits around 1,200 hits and is 44% to get to 3,000. Trout (26) just passed 1,000 and is 27%. Manny (25, ESPN listed as 23 though) has slightly more than 800 and is 23% to make it 3,000. Harper wasn't listed but will be in the same boat as Manny, likely starts next year with a little more than 800 hits while 25 y/o.
So Trout is basically 3-1 to make it to 3,000 hits, seems like a lock if there ever was one.
I crap on ESPNs TV programming and what they call "news" a lot, but magazine is always a good read. Great article in this one about Vlad Guerrero Jr. and his pops.
Something I didn't realize. Players with the most seasons hitting .300 with 25+ HRs
14 - Babe Ruth, Ted Williams
13- Hank Aaron
12 - Vlad Guerrero
11 - Lou Gehrig, Barry Bonds*, Manny Ramirez*
Pretty damn impressive.
- BSLChrisStoner likes this
Posted 09 August 2017 - 06:59 PM
If Markakis has a 35% chance of making the HOF something is loopy
There is baseball, and occasionally there are other things of note
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"Making his own olive brine is peak Mackus."
"I'm too hungover to watch a loss." - McNulty
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